Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.270544 0.370569 0.482060 0.613154 0.760966 0.920658 1.104531
2025-04-20 0.148551 0.277725 0.441754 0.652999 0.908091 1.198467 1.547145
2025-04-27 0.095726 0.234477 0.429189 0.695157 1.029280 1.420298 1.899725
2025-05-04 0.068828 0.216845 0.442634 0.764696 1.180340 1.675571 2.290753
2025-05-11 0.044389 0.191735 0.438394 0.805654 1.291689 1.880188 2.619621
2025-05-18 0.022629 0.158302 0.414484 0.814919 1.359193 2.029156 2.880586
2025-05-25 0.004613 0.109298 0.354331 0.765576 1.345045 2.073654 3.012937
2025-06-01 NaN 0.069715 0.297465 0.712585 1.320029 2.100154 3.119802
2025-06-08 NaN 0.047221 0.264596 0.690777 1.333552 2.172503 3.280329
2025-06-15 NaN 0.037553 0.256476 0.706778 1.398578 2.310176 3.521096
2025-06-22 NaN 0.025196 0.235455 0.698468 1.427424 2.399873 3.701386
2025-06-29 NaN 0.013648 0.207520 0.674370 1.431187 2.455226 3.837516
2025-07-06 NaN 0.011459 0.212723 0.712929 1.531676 2.644575 4.150874
2025-07-13 NaN 0.009593 0.218429 0.753045 1.635789 2.840580 4.475175
2025-07-20 NaN 0.008604 0.227511 0.799264 1.748780 3.048161 4.813846
2025-07-27 NaN 0.010270 0.251134 0.873766 1.904730 3.313650 5.226656
2025-08-03 NaN 0.009094 0.258949 0.917734 2.014707 3.517724 5.561591
2025-08-10 NaN 0.005542 0.249618 0.927638 2.072847 3.652165 5.807905
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000721 0.210702 0.874759 2.033093 3.653403 5.883202
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.173092 0.817841 1.983431 3.638748 5.936154
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.152741 0.794378 1.984061 3.691097 6.073791
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.150258 0.811596 2.049758 3.833236 6.327891
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.137517 0.802655 2.072325 3.915132 6.503404